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DAILY MICROSTRUCTURE BRIEF
2026-06-12 · Friday · covers prior 24h UTC · peak window 13:00-16:00
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kraken→okx (DOT/USDT) set a seven-day high on executability.
TOP ROUTES (by executability)
1. kraken→okx (DOT/USDT)
Median spread 0.045% · half-life 1616ms · survival @1s: 79.3% · executability 0.7%
2. kraken→okx (DOGE/USDT)
Median spread 0.033% · half-life 1535ms · survival @1s: 74.4% · executability 0.5%
3. kraken→cryptocom (DOT/USDT)
Median spread 0.048% · half-life 1434ms · survival @500ms: 70.1% · executability 0.5%
Cited data: 1173 samples across 3 routes, prior 24h UTC.
SPREAD DECAY
Median half-life across all routes: 1487ms.
Survival @ T+1s: 73.2% of 512078 samples.
Spreads > 0.40% decayed to below fee floor within 1312ms median (16 samples).
Half-lives tracked 7-day baselines today.
BEST EXECUTION WINDOW
09:00-10:00 UTC (17:00-18:00 SGT) — 81.2% of samples survived to T+500ms above fee floor. 1.1x the 24h average.
Second: 21:00-22:00 UTC — 81.0% survival.
EXCHANGE BEHAVIOUR
All exchanges stable — no degradation events in 24h.
VS YESTERDAY
Samples: 512078 (+36782)
Top route: kraken→okx (DOT/USDT) median spread 0.045%
Survival @1s: 73.2% (+480bps vs yesterday)
Median spread: 0.02% (+0bps vs yesterday)
CONSTRAINTS ON THIS DATA
Spread persistence varies materially by route and hour of day.
High-spread events (>0.40%) decay faster than the median.
Results describe the prior 24h only — not predictive.
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Bot activity — not financial advice.
Every signal blockchain-verified: proofsystems.ai/signals
Full archive: proofsystems.ai/brief
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Friday, 12 June 2026
RULE_5
Published 2026-06-12 · 228 words
Bot activity — not financial advice.
Signal archive: proofsystems.ai/signals