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DAILY MICROSTRUCTURE BRIEF
2026-05-10 · Sunday · covers prior 24h UTC · peak window 13:00-16:00
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coinbase→okx (BTC/USD) overtook coinbase→okx (DOT/USDT) on executability today.
TOP ROUTES (by executability)
1. coinbase→okx (BTC/USD)
Median spread 0.016% · half-life 1946ms · survival @1s: 97.2% · executability 0.0%
2. coinbase→cryptocom (BTC/USD)
Median spread 0.01% · half-life 1878ms · survival @1s: 93.5% · executability 0.0%
3. cryptocom→okx (BTC/USD)
Median spread 0.01% · half-life 1858ms · survival @500ms: 92.4% · executability 0.0%
Cited data: 127586 samples across 3 routes, prior 24h UTC.
SPREAD DECAY
Median half-life across all routes: 1641ms.
Survival @ T+1s: 81.0% of 633632 samples.
Spreads > 0.40% decayed to below fee floor within 0ms median (0 samples).
No material deviation from 7-day decay baselines.
BEST EXECUTION WINDOW
11:00-12:00 UTC (19:00-20:00 SGT) — 88.3% of samples survived to T+500ms above fee floor. 1.1x the 24h average.
Second: 20:00-21:00 UTC — 88.3% survival.
EXCHANGE BEHAVIOUR
No exchange-level incidents recorded in 24h.
VS YESTERDAY
Samples: 633632 (+554200)
Top route: coinbase→okx (BTC/USD) median spread 0.016%
Survival @1s: 81.0% (+390bps vs yesterday)
Median spread: 0.01% (-20bps vs yesterday)
CONSTRAINTS ON THIS DATA
Spread persistence varies materially by route and hour of day.
High-spread events (>0.40%) decay faster than the median.
Results describe the prior 24h only — not predictive.
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Bot activity — not financial advice.
Every signal blockchain-verified: proofsystems.ai/signals
Full archive: proofsystems.ai/brief
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Sunday, 10 May 2026
RULE_4
Published 2026-05-10 · 227 words
Bot activity — not financial advice.
Signal archive: proofsystems.ai/signals