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DAILY MICROSTRUCTURE BRIEF
2026-04-30 · Thursday · covers prior 24h UTC · peak window 13:00-16:00
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Top route rotation: coinbase→cryptocom (BTC/USD) displaced coinbase→cryptocom (SOL/ETH) at #1.
TOP ROUTES (by executability)
1. coinbase→cryptocom (BTC/USD)
Median spread 0.012% · half-life 1756ms · survival @1s: 87.2% · executability 0.0%
2. coinbase→okx (BTC/USD)
Median spread 0.013% · half-life 1764ms · survival @1s: 87.6% · executability 0.0%
3. coinbase→okx (ETH/USD)
Median spread 0.017% · half-life 1720ms · survival @500ms: 85.6% · executability 0.0%
Cited data: 40019 samples across 3 routes, prior 24h UTC.
SPREAD DECAY
Median half-life across all routes: 1490ms.
Survival @ T+1s: 73.6% of 262201 samples.
Spreads > 0.40% decayed to below fee floor within 0ms median (0 samples).
No material deviation from 7-day decay baselines.
BEST EXECUTION WINDOW
02:00-03:00 UTC (10:00-11:00 SGT) — 79.7% of samples survived to T+500ms above fee floor. 1.1x the 24h average.
Second: 00:00-01:00 UTC — 79.2% survival.
EXCHANGE BEHAVIOUR
No exchange-level incidents recorded in 24h.
VS YESTERDAY
Samples: 262201 (-198562)
Top route: coinbase→cryptocom (BTC/USD) median spread 0.012%
Survival @1s: 73.6% (-190bps vs yesterday)
Median spread: 0.012% (+1bps vs yesterday)
CONSTRAINTS ON THIS DATA
Spread persistence varies materially by route and hour of day.
High-spread events (>0.40%) decay faster than the median.
Results describe the prior 24h only — not predictive.
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Bot activity — not financial advice.
Every signal blockchain-verified: proofsystems.ai/signals
Full archive: proofsystems.ai/brief
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Thursday, 30 April 2026
RULE_4
Published 2026-04-30 · 229 words
Bot activity — not financial advice.
Signal archive: proofsystems.ai/signals